Chennai: The ABP News-CVoter ‘Desh ka Mood’ survey has predicted that Prime Minister Modi will return for a second term in 2019.
However, Congress can make big gains in Uttar Pradesh if it forms an alliance with the Samajwadi Party and BSP according to the survey.
Taking India as a whole, the survey predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance will get 276 seats while the Congress will win 112 seats in the 2019 general elections. The majority mark in the Lower House is 272.
NDA ON BACK FOOT IN SOUTH
According to the survey, the NDA will be behind the UPA in the southern States. However, regional parties are predicted to dominate the elections as usual in Tamilnadu, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Kerala.
Of the 129 seats in these five States, the NDA is predicted to win 21, the Congress-led United Progressive Alliance is likely to win 32, and the remaining 76 seats will go to other parties.
UTTAR PRADESH SCENARIO
The opinion poll predicted that the Congress will be able to make big gains in Uttar Pradesh, the State with the largest vote share and assembly seats in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections if it forms an alliance with the Samajwadi Party and Bahujan Samajwadi Party.
The mahagathbandhan or Grand Alliance will win no less than 56 of the 80 seats in the state, it said. However, if the parties don’t go the Mahagathbandhan way, the NDA could clinch as many as 70 seats.
The third scenario of Congress ending up with two seats, NDA with 36 and SP-BSP with 42 would emerge if the Congress decides to not enter into an alliance with the SP-BSP.
BJP ALLIANCE TO SWEEP DELHI
The survey predicted that BJP would win all seven seats in Delhi. The survey predicted that NDA will also sweep the North-East states of Assam, Manipur, Mizoram, Tripura, Sikkim and Nagaland. Out of a total of 25 seats in North East, NDA is expected to win 18 and UPA 6.
THREE OUTCOMES IN MAHARASHTRA
If the BJP and Shiv Sena split, and the NCP and Congress join forces in Maharashtra, it spells advantage UPA, the ABP News-CVoter survey predicted.
According to the survey, the UPA is expected to poll 30 of 48 seats, should the scenario play out. If BJP stays with Shiv Sena and the NCP stays with the Congress, then the NDA is expected win to big, polling about 36 seats, the survey predicted.
If all parties contest individually, NDA is expected to get the maximum seats.