Dublin: Ireland goes to the polls on Saturday, with Prime Minister Leo Varadkar touting his successful handling of Brexit, but facing pressure over housing and healthcare. A late surge in support for the republican Sinn Fein party, once the voice of the IRA paramilitary group, also threatens to shake up the political landscape.
Varadkar’s Fine Gael party has led a minority government with the main opposition party, Fianna Fail, since the 2016 election. Just a few months after that, Britain voted to leave the European Union — and Brexit has dominated Irish politics since.
Britain’s exit on January 31, under the terms of a last-minute EU divorce deal, eased immediate fears of a damaging split between London and the bloc, which includes Ireland. It set up a transition period during which trade ties continue, and maintained Ireland’s open border with Northern Ireland, which suffered decades of violence over British control.
Varadkar won plaudits for his role in securing the agreement, but has warned of more uncertainty to come, as Britain seeks a longer-lasting trade deal with the EU by December. And he has presented himself as the man to deliver on the next stage.
“A failure to secure a trade deal would be a major threat and an existential threat to our economy in 2021,” he said last month.
Both centre-right parties, Fianna Fail agreed to prop up Fine Gael during the uncertainty of Britain’s prolonged EU departure, but the former argues that it should now take the lead.
“The idea that Ireland cannot change its government because of Brexit is cynical and desperate in equal measure,” said Fianna Fail leader Micheal Martin.
Fianna Fail says the government’s efforts to shockproof the economy from Brexit need to ‘rapidly increase’ in preparation for the risk that trade talks with Britain fail. But there is little real differentiation between the parties, driving voter apathy.
“The approach to phase two of the Brexit talks — trade talks — is not going to be substantially different regardless of who wins this election,” said Jonathan Evershed, from University College Cork.
“I think basically people know that and there was very limited political capital in it for the Irish government,” he told AFP.