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Home » Will India feel the pinch?
NATION

Will India feel the pinch?

AgencyBy AgencyAugust 28, 2025No Comments
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New Delhi, Aug 28: The USA’s steep 50 per cent tariffs on Indian goods entering America will severely impact exports and job creation in labour-intensive export sectors such as shrimp, apparel, leather and gems and jewellery.
Exporters said that the imposition of a 25 per cent penalty on India over and above the 25 per cent tariffs move will disrupt the flow of Indian goods to its largest export market.
The US accounted for about 20 per cent of India’s USD 437.42 billion worth of goods exports in 2024-25. The US is the largest trading partner of India from 2021-22.
In 2024-25, the bilateral trade in goods stood at USD 131.8 billion (USD 86.5 billion exports and USD 45.3 billion imports).
“The 50 per cent tariff is like an economic sanction. It would lead to closure of units and job cuts,” an exporter from the leather sector said.
Mithileshwar Thakur, Secretary General, AEPC (Apparel Export Promotion Council), said the textiles sector, with exports of USD 10.3 billion, is one of the worst-impacted sectors.
“The industry was reconciled to the 25 per cent reciprocal tariff announced by the USA, as it was prepared to absorb a part of the tariff increase. But, the additional burden of another 25 per cent…has effectively driven the Indian apparel industry out of the US market as the gap of 30-31 per cent tariff disadvantage vis-a-vis major competing countries like Bangladesh, Vietnam, Sri Lanka, Cambodia and Indonesia is impossible to bridge,” he said.
Sharing similar views, Gems and Jewellery Export Promotion Council (GJEPC) Chairman Kirit Bhansali has said that there is a significant dependency on the US market.
“For cut and polished diamonds, half of India’s exports are US-bound. With this tariff hike, the entire industry may come to a standstill, placing immense pressure on every part of the value chain, from karigars (artisans) to large manufacturer,” he has said adding competing manufacturing hubs such as Turkiye, Vietnam and Thailand continue to enjoy significantly, making Indian products relatively less competitive in the US market due to India’s 50 per cent tariff.
This imbalance, he said, if unaddressed, could erode India’s long-standing position as a key supplier to the US.
Another official from the diamond sector said that diamond cutting and polishing, which sustains lakhs of jobs across Gujarat’s hinterland, especially Surat, Navsari, Bhavnagar and Jasdan.
A Kolkata-based seafood exporter said that now India’s shrimp will become “super” expensive in the US market, impacting the competitiveness of exporters.
“We are already facing huge competition from Ecuador, as it has only a 15 per cent tariff. Indian shrimp already attracts a 2.49 per cent anti-dumping duty and a 5.77 per cent countervailing duty. After this 50 per cent, the duty will be significantly high,” the shrimp exporter said.
Similarly, a leather exporter said that some of the companies have orders in hand for about 2-3 months, but the US firms are demanding about a 20 per cent discount to retain the orders.
“Considering the 50 per cent tariff for India, if the discount is not accepted, orders are kept fully on hold or cancelled. Also, if a discount is not given, no new orders will be placed,” the leather
footwear exporter said, adding firms doing business with the US anticipate a 50 per cent
reduction/retrenchment in their workforce/ supervisors/ staff and management executives due to loss of US business.
Economic think tank GTRI said that the US tariffs will hit 66 per cent of India’s USD 86.5 billion exports to America.
“The United States’ new tariff regime, effective August 27, 2025, marks one of the most severe trade shocks India has faced in recent years. With over two-thirds of India’s USD 86.5 billion exports to the US now subject to prohibitive 25-50 per cent duties, critical labour-intensive sectors such as textiles, gems and jewellery, shrimp, carpets, and furniture face sharp declines in competitiveness and employment,” GTRI Founder Ajay Srivastava said.
He said India’s exports to the US are set to fall steeply to about USD 49.6 billion in FY2026 due to Washington’s new tariff regime.
Exporters have urged the government to announce steps to deal with these high tariffs.
Federation of Indian Export Organisations (FIEO) President S C Ralhan has urged a moratorium on payment of principal and interest for loans up to a period of one year.
Additionally, automatic enhancement of the existing limit by 30 per cent along with collateral-free lending on Emergency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) lines may also be pushed as these will help in addressing the stress of these companies without much burden on the exchequer, he said.
Besides, expanding PLI schemes, enhancing infrastructure, and investing in cold-chain/storage assets to strengthen competitiveness and aggressive market diversification through accelerated trade agreements (FTAs) with the EU, Oman, Chile, Peru, GCC, Africa, and other Latin American countries, with a provision for early-harvest for labour-intensive sectors, should be prioritised.
FIEO appeals for swift, coordinated action among exporters, industry bodies, and government agencies to protect livelihoods, reinforce global trade links, and navigate this turbulent phase.
Will India feel the pinch?
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